MARCO'S
BASEBALL BLOG-O-ROONIE 2018: PLAYOFFS...WHO DO YA LIKE?
I
had to wait until these one game wild card and tiebreaker for
division crown type games are over because who the heck can predict
winners in those kinds of games anyway? I mean, it's one lousy game?
It's been a little easier lately when one team has a Bumgarner or
an Arrieta pitching. At least you can go with the Ace
and guess right.
This
year we had the NL Central tiebreaker with the Adorables
at the Ivied Hallowed Halls of Heroes versus the upstart slightly
chemically augmented Milwaukee Brew Blasters. I picked the
Cubs at home and of course lost. The Crew continued their run of
discombobulating the Chicagoans as Maddon kept pitching to
Yelich who continued his hot hand and murdered their pitchers.
This
forced the Baby Bears into a wild card game at home against the
Rockies. They lost again and looked really bad doing it. The
game went 13 innings and had the hometowners bringing in starters
Cole Hamels and Stork
Hendricks to face the Rockheads. They couldn't score to save
their adorable souls and went down in fairly pitiful fashion.
The
highlight of that game was Javier Baez running into the arms
of Rockies third baseman Nolan Arenado and hugging him to keep
Arenado from throwing to first and doubling up Cubs catcher Wilson
Contreras who was limping down to first with a leg cramp after
grounding weakly to third. It looked really stupid. Baez just
embraced Nolan with great Latin passion and Arenado seemed to forget
what he was supposed to do. It was like “You feel so good in my
arms Jave! Let's do the Habanera!” And Jave was like “I'm Puerto
Rican, make it the Bomba! And hold me tighter you Cuban Hunk, you!”
So
now I'm expecting...that's it! The fatal mistake! Now the Cubs will
score the winning run in this, the 12th inning of Doom,
and people will be talking about this play for a baseball eternity.
But no, the Cubbies didn't take advantage of this Javier Baez Dancing
with the Star moment and now this too, the “Merengue of the MVPs”
will fade from memory.
So
the Rockies, who had just lost their chance at the division crown by
losing badly to the Dodgers, are now playing the Brew Crew in
a five game set in Milwaukee.
I
like Milwaukee in 5 games because the Brewers have been beating
everybody lately. And Yelich has been awesome. His swing is so
perfect that he's hitting everything on the sweet spot and going to
all fields.
Everybody
seems to concede the MVP to Yelich because he's had his hot streak
late. It's been very impressive, but Baez had some hot streaks
earlier and pretty much carried the Cubs offensively in a really down
year for the Baby Bear bats. And Baez was playing all over the field
wherever Joe Maddon needed him. With Addison Russell in
trouble for slumping and for beating on his woman, Baez was mostly at
shortstop, and last time I looked that's a much more important
defensive position than left field. And Baez is one of the best at
short.
In
case you forgot, the importance of the defensive positions after
pitcher goes something like this:
1/catcher
(by a wide margin) 2/shortstop 3/second base 4/center field 5 and
6/third base and first base (pretty much a tie...third basemen get a
few more grounders because of more right handed hitters in baseball
and have to have a stronger arm. But first basemen handle the ball a
lot more and have to dig out throws.) 7/right field (because a right
fielder has to have a stronger arm so he can throw that long toss to
third when a runner rounds second and goes for it.) 8/left field
(where you can hide a weak arm and get away with playing guys who
can't field anywhere else.)
Now
that doesn't mean that a player at a less vital defensive position
can't still be more valuable defensively. A Mookie Betts who
plays so well in the difficult right field at Fenway is more
defensively valuable than a bad second basement like Danny Murphy.
But Murphy is an anomaly. Most fielders that bad get traded to the
American League so they can DH.
Yelich
is a great left fielder. But Baez is a great shortstop and that
trumps whatever Yelich does in left field. So, with their offensive
stats being so similar, I give the MVP to Baez by a hair because I
think he did more to help the Cubs win as much as they did in a down
year for them. I'd rather watch Yelich hit because I like that style
better than Jave's swing for the downs and never walk style. Both of
them hit in the clutch like Champs.
Both
the Rocks and the Brews depend upon their bullpens to control the
game. Rocks have one stud starter in Kyle Freeland. Brews have
the scary relief closer in Josh Hader. I think
the Brews are more ready to win.
The
other 5 game playoff in the NL is between the Dodgers and the Atlanta
Bravos. The Bravos clinched a while ago and now everybody has
forgotten about them. With Freeman, Markakis and
Acuna, they are a dangerous bunch. But I don't think they have
the pitching or the experience to beat the Dodgers yet.
It
took the Bluebloods all year to get their team squared away, but now
that the pitching staff is reasonably healthy and deep and Manny
Machado and Brian
Dozier have adjusted to the National League, L.A. is just too
powerful for the Bravos. They also have home field advantage in this
series and they should cruise.
Over
in the American League, the Yankees woke up and pounded
the Oakland Clones in Yankee Stadium. The key moment in that
contest was Aaron Judge hitting a rocket homer (finally) and
reassuring the faithful that his broken wrist has healed. Judge seems
to be the thermometer for the Yanks. If he's hot, the team gets fired
up.
So
now we have the long awaited next chapter in the Playoff Saga of the
Yankees versus the Red Sox. The Fine Young Bombers against the
all time winning-est Red Sox ever.
I
have stated before that I think the Sox are in trouble against this
team. Chris Sale is the only starter who has been able to
control the Yankees this year, especially in the Stadium. Chris is
hurt. He has no velocity on his fastball after shoulder problems.
It's doubtful he can go long into a game and the Yankees have killed
the Red Sox bullpen. I don't think Porcello and
Price can beat the Yankees and I don't trust the bullpen.
I
think to have a chance in this series, the Sox will have to get Betts
and Martinez at the top of their offensive powers and they'll
have to hold serve at Fenway. But it's going to be hard to ask Sale
to win two games coming off that injury.
The
Yankees have to feel good about how Severino looked against
the Oaklands. If he's the Ace again, they've got to be feeling
confident. They've got the Beef Trust of Judge, Stanton, Voit,
Andujar, Sanchez and Gleyber Torres all
hitting for power. The one fly in their ointment? Sanchez is such a
bad catcher that the Sox may be able to run wild just on passed
balls! The Yankees should play Romine.
Yankees
in 5.
Who
remembers the Houston Astros? Remember? The team that won
last year? That old fashioned team that has actual Starting Pitchers?
This whole new trend of pitching your bullpen every game instead of
having an actual starting pitcher go 6 or 7 innings is not the
Astro's bag. They have Verlander, Cole, Morton and
Keuchel. Now that Jose Altuve is healthy, they have their
sparkplug. Alex Bregman took up the slack when Altuve, Correa
and Springer were
hurt and pretty much saved their season when Oakland started to
surge. Mookie Betts probably overtook Bregman for MVP with a sizzling
September and you can't ask any player to do more to help his team.
But Bregman was a true hero as well.
He's
a little behind Mook stat-wise, but 51 doubles and 31 homers is still
pretty good.
The
Astros aren't as scary this year offensively because Carlos Correa,
their great young shortstop, has back trouble and hasn't hit since
coming off the DL. Springer has been sluggish as well. More pressure
on Altuve, Bregman and people like Gattis and
Gurriel.
The
Clevelanders are the true dark horse team of this year's playoffs.
They could win if Encarnacion has a good run and Joe
Ramirez and Lindor
keep up their hotting. (Shorthand for 'hot hitting'!)The Tribe has a
starting staff second only to the 'Stros. Their bullpen is just as
good. Could be a classic series.
Astros
in 5.
I'm
going to postpone my predictions for the rest of the playoffs until
we've seen the first round.
Hasta
La Vista Baby!
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