Monday, January 11, 2016

MARCO'S BASEBALL BLOG-O-ROONIE: MYSTERIES OF THE UNIVERSE!

MARCO'S BASEBALL BLOG-O-ROONIE
MYSTERIES OF THE UNIVERSE!

1/Why does the National League have 7 teams in rebuilding mode and the American League has none?

Against all laws of probability, half the teams in the NL fell apart the last two years. In the East, Atlanta and Philadelphia are total tear-downs. (Atlanta even traded one of the best closers in baseball just to get rid of BJ Upton!)The Phillies you know about.
And the Marlins? Who knows what the horse-pucky they are doing. They say they aren't trading their stars while they shop them (Fernandez). With or without him they are still a rudderless joke of a ball team. The first thing they ought to do is buy Stanton one of those hand protectors like Jeff Bagwell used to wear because all the pitchers in baseball throw inside on him regularly.

This leaves The Nationals and the Mets to fight it out in that division. The Nationals can't screw up as bad as they did last season, can they? They traded a closer, Storen, just to remove some of the friction in the clubhouse. Who they got left is Mr. Friction himself, Jonathon Papelbon. There's a bunch of other sore teeth in that mouth and we'll have to see if Dusty Baker can be a happy dentist.

The Mets must think they are great or something and didn't bother to keep their 3-4 hitters. Maybe they'll pick up an Upton or someone but right now they have taken a big step back. They won't have much competition in that division after the Nats. (Prediction: The Mets have lost two fire balling young starters to Tommy John in two years (Harvey and Wheeler)....even money says one of these four will also go down this year: DeGrom, Syndergaard, Matz, closer Familia.)

More rebuilds: NL Central Cincinnati, Milwaukee. Two more weak sisters for the Cards, Cubs and Pirates to beat up on.

NL West: San Diego and Colorado. The Padres failed miserably to redo last year. They're still fumbling around. Colorado hasn't done anything in the off season and seems to have given up. They are an embarrassment.

Meanwhile, in the American League, every team has at least a chance to make the post season. Oakland looks weak in the West, but they have some talent and pitching so who knows? I wouldn't bet on Seattle but they at least have some players. In the Central even the White Sox have pop and Chris Sales and Cleveland and Minnesota are pretty good. Every team in the East is competitive.

So we're looking at wide open baseball in the AL and a limited pennant race in the NL. Just one of Life's Great Mysteries.

2/Is it a Brave New World of intra-team computer warfare?

A Cardinals draft expert hacked into the Astros system and spied on all their draft evaluations starting in 2013.
The commissioner has to come down hard on this first time outrage. I mean , this is New England Patriots kind of cheating. Look to the Cardinals to get fined at least 2 million and their first round draft choice for the next three years. Only question, do the Astros get one of those draft picks as well as a financial compensation? Other teams competing with the Astros may get upset if the 'Stros get too much of an advantage.

This is the worst black eye that the squeaky clean Cards have gotten since they almost went on strike to avoid sharing a field with Jackie Robinson back in 1947.

3/Can feel-good managers change the chemistry in Washington and Los Angeles?

The Nationals hired Dusty Baker. The Dodgers hired Dave Roberts. Both of these guys are Mr. Popular types that get all warm and cuddly with the players. Will this work on these two undisciplined sour-puss teams?
I say Roberts was a good pick for the Dodgers, which might be the first sensible thing they've done under their new general manager Freidman. His other moves? Trading Dee Gordon to the Marlins so he could win a batting title, stolen base title and gold glove there instead of for the Dodgers, not offering an extra year to keep Greinke, trading for Reds third sacker Todd Frazier then shipping him off for prospects, trading for Matt Latos, keeping 6 outfielders who all should start somewhere and now hate each other, creating an all left-handed starting rotation (until they got the Japanese guy Maeda) etc. etc.

Maybe they need a good time Charlie type to make that club work. It was either that or go hard-ass with somebody like Kirk Gibson and I don't think that would have cut it with the spoiled Dodgers.

Dusty might make the Nats congeal, but his handling of pitching staffs has always been questionable and his in- game strategy perplexing. Could be one season and out if they don't win.

4/Why does the baseball world still consider Billy Beane a great genius?

The Oakland GM traded Cespedes, Addison Russell and Josh Donaldson for borderline prospects and a few months of John Lester and Samardja. Nuff said. The A's went from playoffs to last place fairly quickly.

Just another rebuild? Not when you had Donaldson locked up for three years and he's an MVP. Not when Addison Russell is close to being the best defensive shortstop in the league last year and looks like a star for the Cubs. (The A's also included first rounder Billy McKinney in that deal with the Cubs.) Not when you keep Ace Sonny Gray just entering his prime.

5/Will the Diamondbacks go broke before they win a pennant?

They might. On the other hand, Arizona has to go for it now while they still have Goldschmidt and Pollard under control. If they keep treading water, the fans will stay away and they'll be even broker. So Zack Greinke...”say hello to my $206 million leetle frands!”

6/Why does Ken Griffey Jr. get to be the highest percentage
first ballot Hall of Famer of all time?

Let's sing it: “Cause he's got “Personality, walks with Personality, talks with Personality...plus he's got a great big smile...”

Griffey was a great player, a good citizen, a credit to the game (for the most part) and a Hall of Famer for sure. No way he should be considered the most deserving player of all time for election to the Hall.

Jr. played in the second best hitter's era of all time in a hitter's park for the whole of his career. He led the league in homers 4 times, in RBIs once, in runs scored once and in slugging percentage once. He won one MVP and finished top ten 7 times. He never won a pennant. (That might have had something to do with how good the Yankees were in that era) He was a great defensive center fielder and stole about 9 bases per year on average.

Let's look at some of his contemporaries: Larry Walker (who has not gotten near enough votes for HOF induction) played in the same era in a great hitter's park half of his career (Colorado) and a terrible hitting park for the rest (Montreal mostly). Walker won 1 homer title, 2 on base percentage titles, 2 slugging titles, 3 batting average titles (he hit over .350 4 times for a .313 lifetime average while Griffey was batting .284.) His lifetime on base? .400. Lifetime slugging? .565. Both higher than Griffey's. Walker was a great defensive outfielder and stole about 14 bases per year on average. Both Walker and Griffey got hurt a lot. Walker won 1 MVP and 1 pennant when he played for the Cardinals late in his career.

Maybe Griffey was better than Walker, but it's close. And Walker gets no love from the voters.

Jim Thome's career coincided almost exactly with Griffey's and they played in the same leagues at the same times. Thome played in neutral parks for the most part but played 3 years in a hitter's park in Philadelphia and a couple of years in a pitcher's park in Minnesota late. Thome won 1 homer title (but hit over 30 in a season 12 times! Griffey did it 9 times.)He led in slugging once and walks 3 times. Thome had a lifetime average of .276 with an on base of .402 and he slugged .554. (Griffey once again was .284/.370/.538) Thome never won an MVP but finished top ten 4 times. Thome was on 2 pennant winning teams. He was a below average first baseman and couldn't run at all.

You'd definitely pick Griffey over Thome defensively and on the base paths but Thome was actually a more productive hitter. Thome isn't eligible for the HOF yet but when he is I doubt he'll get in on the first ballot.

Frank Thomas is in the HOF with a lifetime.301/.419/.555 average/on base/slugging stat line...all well above Griffey. He led in runs once, walks 4 times, average once, On base 4 times and slugging once. He won 2 MVPs and finished top ten 9 times. He was below average defensively and couldn't run. 1 pennant.

Now none of the above were ever accused of doing steroids. How about one who has been?

Jeff Bagwell can't get into the HOF...maybe next year. He's never been tested positive but is suspected of doping because of that one insane year in 1994 when he hit 39 homers in 110 games, batted in 116, hit .368 and slugged.750! And that was in the toughest hitter's park in the majors! Bags was also best friends with known doper Ken Caminiti but so was Biggio who was never suspected. Go figure.

Bagwell led in runs 3 times, rbis and walks once each and slugging once. His lifetime stat line: .297/.408/.540. Once again that's a little better than Griffey's. Bagwell, like I said, played in the exact same era in the worst hitter's park in the majors. He was a pretty good first baseman and stole about 14 bases a year. He won 1 MVP and finished top ten 6 times. 1 pennant.

I could keep going and name 4 or 5 more players whose lifetime stats are as good or better than Griffey's. And most of them did not have the advantage of hitting in bandbox ballparks for their home games.

Not to put Jr. down too much because he deserves to be a first ballot Hall of Famer. But so did these other guys and so far only Thomas is in.

But Junior has a great smile doesn't he?

Only 30 more days until Spring Training starts! See ya!