Thursday, July 21, 2016

MARCO'S BASEBALL BLOG-O-ROONIE 2016: HERNIATED PENNANT RACES

MARCO'S BASEBALL BLOG-O-ROONIE 2016: HERNIATED PENNANT RACES

All of a sudden we have pennant races...because of catastrophic injuries to key players.
It's been a dull season as far as the races go, with only the AL East really tight. The National League has been very predictable (even I got it almost right!) with a clear separation between the “Haves” and the “Zombie Walking Dead” teams.

The Haves are Washington and New York in the East, Chicago, Pittsburgh and St. Louis in the Central and San Francisco and LA in the West. The rest of the league is clearly fodder with the exception of Miami, which has shown signs of life.
In fact, now that New York has lost Harvey to a vascular constriction in his thorax and is on Tommy John watch with Syndergaard and Matz, in addition to losing Wright for the season with a herniated neck, the Marlins are probably favored to finish second. (Cespedes is also down with a quad.)

The Cubs are finally getting Soler back from an endless stay on the DL. They need something because Zobrist has totally stopped hitting since they moved him to leadoff and the DL stay of Fowler has obviously disrupted their offense. They can't seem to win unless Rizzo or Bryant
hits a couple of homers. Heyward is turning out to be one of the worst free agent signings in history (at least judging from this year. I mean, if you can't hit but .230 with no power in Wrigley Field you just aren't much of a hitter.)

I see the Cards and the Pirates crowding Chicago at the top. The Pirates got face-slammed by the injury to Gerrit Cole...their Ace. If he can make it back they have a chance to go on a streak. The Cards were surging behind suddenly potent pitching (Martinez, Wacha especially) until they lost Matt Carpenter. I still see them catching up with the Cubs and making it close.

In the West the Giants are only 4½ games up on the Dodgers and are still coping with the loss of Pence (hammy...just reinjured) and Panik (coming back soon). Trouble is, that lineup is and always has been incredibly brittle. As soon as somebody heals up, somebody else will go down.
They only have two reliable pitchers with Bumgarner and Cueto. Samardzja is all over the place. Peavy and Matt Cain are Tee-ball pitchers now.

So the Dodgers had a chance to catch up and maybe win the division again. But here comes a herniated disc for Kershaw. Then he reinjured it....now they're talking surgery. Kershaw has carried that team for a while now. He's the only starter they have who can eat up innings and save their vulnerable bullpen. Either the Dodgeheads call up some of these awesome young pitching prospects they've been nurturing in the minors or they write this season off.

Come on LA...see what the kids can do...you can always send them back to Albuquerque if they suck.

In the AL East, Boston was suddenly looking like the sexy choice to start dominating the feathered friends (Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles). Both of those teams beat you to death with the long ball and just slide by with some pitching. Just a week ago, the Sox were looking resurrected with Price, Wright, Porcello and the newly healed Rodriguez all throwing great games. They traded for Drew Pomeranz who looked great against the Giants last night...for three innings. Then the Sox had a big rally and Pomerantz had to sit on the bench for half an hour. When he came back he was a tee ball pitcher for the Giants hitters. Against a team he had dominated all season when pitching for the Padres, he allowed 5 runs and had two men on base with NO OUTS when they had to come get him. This was predictable. Pitchers who looked like studs in the National League are always coming over to pitch in Fenway and getting lit up. Just automatically add 2 runs to their ERA whenever you see that. Petco devours fly balls that bounce off the wall in Fenway. You have to change your patterns and that takes a while to adjust. Price regressed in his last start. Porcello and Wright look pretty steady. We'll see about Rodriguez.)

The Sox also lost Kimbrel to injury, Tazawa to injury and now Koje Uehara to injury...bang, bang, bang. Either they make some more trades for bullpen help or they crater. Trouble is, they just traded away a pitcher who some say is the next Pedro Martinez in Anderson Espinoza. I say they should have gotten somebody with better stuff than Pomeranz. Good stuff is the place to start when you are pitching in the AL East. Finesse pitchers don't last long. (Knuckleballers excepted!)

Baltimore needs a starter and bullpen help but can't trade any of their hitters...that's how they win. Toronto has seemingly lost Bautista for the duration. They have better starters than Baltimore.
But the dark horse is New York.

The Yanks just swept the Orioles at the Stadium with their unbeatable bullpen trio. Everybody says they should trade those guys for young building blocks. I say if you have the best bullpen trio in history (yes, even better than the Nasty Boys of Reds fame and Kansas City's trio last year) you should keep them.
You are New York for Garden Sockie! All the old guys are going to finally get off your payroll eventually...then you can get some position players and a couple of young starters. Keep this trio together and you can't get beat in the late innings. Who cares how big a luxury tax you pay...you're the New York By God Yankees!

The Central is led by the Cleveland Indians. Yes, those Indians...the Ohio Politically Corrects. They're living on timely hitting and steady pitching from Kluber and Salazar and Carrasco. Bradley was supposed to be well...and he's
been one of the top players in the league...but his shoulder is hurt again and it looks like curtains for this season. This young guy Naquin has come out of nowhere to bat .324 with power and play center field for them. Lindor is a budding superstar and Napoli has hit some dingers for them.
Still, it's not so much that the Indians are great...it's that everybody else in the division is so ordinary. Detroit is 7½ back and not much of a threat. They keep losing to the Twins. Chicago has been sluggish since April and Kansas City has been decimated by injuries. (KC also has sucky pitchers and can't win on the road.)

In other herniated news, Prince Fielder of Texas has a brand new herniated disc in his neck and is going to be rendered surgically disqualified shortly. It's a shame. The Rangers don't mess around...when they get injured, it's for years. Profar, Choo, Colby Lewis, Darvish, Hamilton...all these guys have been out for season after season. Right now they're looking for pitching before the Astros catch them.
Yes, the Astros. They're B-aaa-ack! Keuchel remembered how to pitch and trying Springer at clean up seems to have sparked something. But the main thing is that Altuve is such a gamer that his enthusiasm and leadership have fired the team up. (a .350 average doesn't hurt either!)
Altuve: MVP.

If you get Netflix watch the documentary FASTBALL. It's a really satisfying study of the greatest fireballers and how that pitch really works against hitters. All the greats are examined (a little short on Randy Johnson) and they even have an interview with the Unicorn himself...Steve Dalkowski.
Dalkowski was almost universally accepted as the fastest pitcher anybody ever saw. But he never made the majors and there is no film of him, even though he pitched in the early sixties in the Oriole organization. In 970 minor league innings the guy had 1324 strikeouts! He also had 1274 walks and 145 wild pitches! He once struck out 26 batters in a nine inning game...and walked 20!
I won't give away the ending, but they've figured out how to adjust the new radar gun-era readings to make sense against the famous fastballs of earlier generations. The earlier guys had their fastballs measured at their plate velocity while the new radar guns measure speed right out of the pitchers hand. You'll be surprised at the results.

Hope you're enjoying the summer! Check with you later!