MARCO’S
BASEBALL BLOG-O-ROONIE 2019: QUARTER POLE
Hello intrepid
Warriors of Baseball Fandom. After 40 some games of the 2019 season
you might need an explanation. This I shall attempt.
1/COME ON BABY
LET’S GO DOWNTOWN: Stat of the First Quarter… we have
32...that’s right, thirty two...players in the Bigs who are already
double figures in home runs. (*as of May 16) That means if they
repeat their success in the First Quarter of this season in the next
3 quarters we’ll have over 30 players who hit 40+ home runs this
season! That’s a shocking number...way higher than anything we’ve
seen before.
For instance, in
2001, the year when Barry Bonds hit his 73 tainted taters, the Majors
had 11 players go over 40 in the four bagger department. That was in
the days of Chemical Enhancement. (31 players hit at least 34 bombs).
Now the players are mostly (I think) just strong. They’ve all
learned how to hit drives to all fields and all the pitches are
coming in at 93-98 mph and when they connect, the baseball just flies
out of all these small ballparks. The batters get a crisp new
baseball to hit every time a pitch even touches the dirt. The pattern
is: strike out 3 or 4 times a game but hit a homer, bat .240 and go
collect your check. Baseball wanted offense and this is what we get.
So the trend of ever
more strikeouts, walks and homers (the so-called 3 “natural
outcomes”) shows no sign of ebbing.
2/GREAT
EXPECTATIONS: I keep picking the Washington Nationals to
surprise everybody and play like the team they look like on paper but
once they get on the field it’s Les Miserables. This year they
can’t score. The usual guys got hurt...Trea Turner, Ryan
Zimmerman, Anthony Rendon...add
Juan Soto this season. Only
Anthony Rendon, catcher
Kurt Suzuki and
Howie Kendricks have an OPS over .800. Gerrardo Parra has
been the only bright spot lately with game-winning hits. The young
heroes Soto and Robles are pressing and underachieving at the
plate.
Brian Dozier
has been a free agent disaster offensively. As recently as 2016 the
Dozer hit .268/42 homers/99 rbi’s/.886 OPS for the Twinkies. Right
now he’s at .187/5/7/.606 with 44 strike outs already. This after
he was offensively non-existent for the Dodgers in half a season last
year. I think Brian misses the American League. Hope he comes back
‘cause he’s been a scrappy, interesting player and he’s only
32. I wonder how much longer the Nats can go with him at second base?
You should expect
mass firings for the Washington Nationals if this horrible losing
keeps up. What a waste of good starting pitching. Scherzer,
Strassburg and Corbin
starting games for them and the Nats are way under .500? Cursed are
the Damned!
Actually, all the
contenders in the NL East turn out to be flawed. Harper has
proved that he can go into just as deep a slump in Philadelphia as
he used to in DC. Even though the Phils are in first place in the
division, they don’t look that strong. Atlanta has good
hitting but not enough pitching. The Mets look like the Mets
usually look...teasing with dramatic come- from- behind wins and then
falling flatter than cow patties.
3/ PARITY
IN THE NL CENTRAL: Wow! Hold on there! The expected 3-way race
for a division title among Chicago, Milwaukee and
St. Louis in the NL Central is under attack from Pittsburgh!
The much-maligned Piraticals (especially by me because their owner is
a cheapskate who has ruined the reputation of one of the original
stalwarts of the league by refusing to pay his stars and trading them
off incessantly before the team can ever win something) have come to
life and, even though they’re only at .500, are pounding the
opposition with young pitchers and their new hitting star, Josh
Bell. The big first baseman has switch-hit the pill at a
.325/12/35/1.070 rate. He’s getting a little help from Melky
Cabrera and Gregory Polanco (for a change!) and even though
they are hardly a juggernaut, the Buccos are respectable and
dangerous. SOGA! (that’s new-age tech speak for Sound of Grateful
Applause)
And even the
ever-irrelevant Reds have won 20 games! Their infielders
Suarez (3B), Dietrich (2B) and Jose Iglesisias (SS)
have been stellar and if Joey Votto and
Yasiel Puig ever get going they might be almost average
offensively! Meanwhile Ace Luis Castillo has an ERA of 1.90
and is on pace for about 250 Ks with a 3 to 1 K/BB ratio. He may be
the best pitcher in the National League!
Arise from the Dead,
Red!
Meanwhile, my pick
to click, the St. Louis Cardinals, haven’t. Bad starting
pitching! Unless Carlos Martinez comes back from the IL with a
healthy shoulder, things look grim. The offense has a few bright
spots...Ozuna has 38 ribs and Goldschmidt has been
steady. Matt Carpenter is in another early season slump but
when he rallies, he rallies big. (Last year’s hot streak was
amazing!)
But as currently
constituted, the Redbirds are not a Playoff team.
The Brewers
are, even with an undergunned pitching staff now consisting of Zach
Davies, Josh Hader and some spare change. The Crew is being
carried offensively by Mike Moustakis, Ryan Braun, Yasmani
Grandal and especially Christian Yelich (aka Ichabod!) who
has this line: .342/18/40/1.218!
In first place, the
Cubbies Abide. The Adorables have finally crystallized around
4 scary hitters...Baez, Bryant, Rizzo and Contreras...all well
over .900 in OPS. These guys are the guts of that lineup. They have
some good help from the supporting cast as well.
The Ursines are so
much stronger than the rest of the division in starting pitching
(except for maybe Pittsburgh!) that I expect them to pull away
eventually. Quintana, Hendricks, Lester, Hamels. Nuff said.
Veteran pros at or near the peak of their games. If Yu Darvish
ever rediscovers his control you’ve got a Blue Chip rotation.
At this point Hoyer
and Epstein need
to go out and get some relief pitchers to help that bad bullpen, but
the Cubs are going to be OKAY.
4/CARE AND
FEEDING OF THE UNICORN: For just the second time in all of
history, a player has arisen who can potentially dominate the league
by being an “A” player both as a pitcher and as a hitter. I’m
speaking of course about Shohei Ohtani-san of
the Los Angeles Angels.
Ohtani just came off
the IL after Tommy John-ing his elbow. He’s good to go as a hitter
but won’t try pitching again until next season. But he is a quality
hitter with tremendous power and is already a huge star who
fascinates the public. But every time the guy hustles for an extra
base or slides into home (feet first at least) I hear the Faint of
Heart in the baseball media groaning that the Angels shouldn’t be
risking the future Ace of their pitching staff by letting him run
bases and other scary, dangerous, wreckless behavior like that. What
if some other mean old pitcher hit him in the finger? What if he
Stwained his Wittle Hamstwing Wunning down to first base? (On a
Gwounder!)
Ohtani is the Long
Promised, Newly Arisen, Hero of Heroes, ‘Last of the Dragons’.
Baseball has NEVER had a two way player like him... except for Babe
Ruth. And Babe Ruth was like the Atom Bomb for baseball. He
changed the game for all time and cemented its popularity for
generations.
From 1915 to 1918
when he played for his original team, the Boston Red Sox, Ruth
was the top left-handed pitcher in the league. He won 23 games in
1916 and led the league with an ERA of 1.75. The Babe threw 9
shutouts. If there had been a Cy Young Award back then, Ruth would
have won it.
But by 1919, Ruth
was only starting 15 games. He was just as good a pitcher, but his
hitting had taken off to unprecedented levels. Ruth led the league
with a record homer total of 29 and led the league in RBIs, Runs,
Slugging, On-Base, and OPS (1.114), all while playing the outfield on
days he wasn’t pitching. He was only in 130 games and a lot of
those were as a pinch hitter.
Back then there was
no such thing as a DH slot. It was imperative that Ruth play everyday
so they could get his bat into the lineup more. Even back then they
knew they had to give pitchers a little time to rest their arms after
all the complete game pitching they had to do. But Ruth was
reinventing the whole game of baseball with his power. The fans were
filling ballparks just to watch him hit balls into the fens. The Babe
himself wanted to hit more than he wanted to pitch.
So they traded him
to the Yankees (O Foul and Bitter Day!) and Ruth became a full-time
outfielder and the greatest baseball attraction of all time. But for
a few tantalizing seasons he was close to being the unimaginable
UNICORN...THE BEST PITCHER AND THE BEST HITTER IN BASEBALL
SIMULTANEOUSLY! I mean...God Loves Baseball and he sent the Babe.
Nowadays the
American League has the DH (controversial as that may be for purists)
and Ohtani doesn’t have to play the field when he doesn’t pitch.
The Angels were pitching him every sixth day just to protect him. He
doesn’t even DH the day before or the day after his starts except
maybe for a pinch hit or two. Before he got hurt he was pitching on a
high level (ERA 3.31 plus a 3-1 K/BB rate) and hitting much better
than expected. He had 22 homers, 61 RBIs and an OPS of .925 in only
367 plate appearances!
Mind you, this in
his first year in MLB and his first year out of Japan and in the hot
spotlight of LA media at the tender age of 23. He was instantly
popular with the fans and especially with his teammates. He gets to
learn from Trout and
Pujols how to cope with Super Stardom.
My point? LET THE
KID PLAY BALL! Let’s see what the Unicorn can do! Hell, he could
have gone to the National League and have to bat when he pitches
anyway! You mean he can’t get hurt that way just as easily? But
here he is in the DH friendly American League in the Show Biz capital
of America with a team that can’t win anything anytime soon,
especially if Ohtani doesn’t play.
DH it this
year...work on your timing. Come back nice and slow as a pitcher next
year. Be conservative for 2020. Ease into a routine. Grow that
beautiful spiral horn out of your handsome head and bring glory to
your Ancestors! Then you’ll be Shohei “Shogun” Ohtani! The One
and Only UNICORN!
5/QUICK
FLASHES:
The Houston
Astros are the best team in baseball and are trying to become the
first team ever to achieve a .500 + slugging average for an entire
team over an entire season.
The Yankees current
savior is third baseman Gio Urshela who is hitting .353. In
about 500 previous major league plate appearances he was hitting in
the .220s. So it probably can’t last but I’m glad to see the kid
get his day in the sun.
The Red Sox have a
phenom too...Michael Chavis who has hit some balls out of
sight including a truly memorable high fly that cleared the foul
pole and the Monster and landed out on the Massachusetts turnpike
somewhere. (Against Colorado.) He’s the Baby Beast from Georgia
and he’s really saved Boston at second base while Holt and
Pedroia are out. I like his aggression but he has a lot to learn.
He didn’t catch up
with two 98 mph fastballs from the Astros’ Garrett Cole the
other night and you could see Mike ruffle his feathers in
determination to catch up with the heat on the next pitch. 90 mph
slider in the dirt...swing and miss by a yard. Ooops...this lesson
brought to you by Major League Baseball!
6/LOWEST ERA IN A
SEASON: A CAUTIONARY TALE BROUGHT TO YOU BY WALTER JOHNSON AND BOB
GIBSON
(from BASEBALL EGG...a real good website )
‘When he
retired in the late 1920s, Johnson thought his 1.09 ERA in 1913 was
the lowest ever recorded. It was, but the mark shouldn't have been
1.09, it should have been higher.
In the final
game of the 1913 season, the Senators played a meaningless contest
against the Red Sox. As was the custom of the day, the teams treated
the game as a farce. A coach went into the game to catch, the manager
pitched an inning, and others played out of position. Johnson started
the game in center field, having recorded his 36th victory a few days
earlier. But in the ninth, Johnson trotted in from center and pitched
to two batters with a seven-run lead. The move was a stunt, it was
designed to give the fans something to cheer about. Johnson "lobbed"
his pitches to the plate and allowed a pair of singles, then he
retreated to center field. A Washington D.C. newspaper reported that
Johnson was "laughing and pointing to the crowd" as he
delivered his pitches. A relief pitcher allowed both of the runners
to score, runs that should have been charged to Johnson. But they
weren't. The official scorer witnessed the mockery and didn't count
the performance against Johnson in his final totals. That decision
went unnoticed for decades.
In 1968, Bob Gibson had a 1.12 ERA in one of the greatest seasons ever by a hurler. But, his 1.12 ERA was just a smidge too high to be the lowest in history. Gibson's was second to Johnson. Or so everyone thought. About fifteen years later, a researcher came across the scoring decision from 1913 and notified the league about it. The figures were changed and Johnson's official 1913 earned run average was raised from 1.09 to 1.14, second behind Gibson.’
In 1968, Bob Gibson had a 1.12 ERA in one of the greatest seasons ever by a hurler. But, his 1.12 ERA was just a smidge too high to be the lowest in history. Gibson's was second to Johnson. Or so everyone thought. About fifteen years later, a researcher came across the scoring decision from 1913 and notified the league about it. The figures were changed and Johnson's official 1913 earned run average was raised from 1.09 to 1.14, second behind Gibson.’
Thank you Marco! I really enjoyed this
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