MARCO'S
BASEBALL BLOG-O-ROONIE 2017: 1 WEEK TO GO!
With
only a week remaining on the schedule, one would think the pennant
races were pretty much decided. But one would be a fool, wouldn't
one?
The
Nationals have already clinched in the NL East. The
Dodgers, despite a recent 5-20 swoon, have won the West
by plenty. The Cubs have gone 8-2 in the last ten to sew up a
Playoff spot and all but win the Central officially.
The
NL First Wild Card looks like Arizona for sure. They've been
giving up a lot of runs lately but they look to host the Play-In
game. Colorado, which has been solid all year, has suddenly
gone ice cold at the plate...even at home in Denver-Launch-City. Shut
out in 3 out of 4! What on Earth? That has opened up better
possibilities for Milwaukee and St. Louis. Seeing this,
the Brewers promptly spit the bit and lost 3 very winnable games in a
row before Shaw hit a walk off against the Cubs last night.
Now the Cardinals...underachieving all year...are hovering hopefully
just a game and a half out of the second Wild Card.
Best
guess is Arizona hosts somebody for a one game Wild Card Play-In.
Winner faces the Dodgers and all their recent question marks.
Washington and the Cubs will rassle for the Championship berth.
In
the AL, Cleveland has flattened the Central with
that magnificent 22 game win streak and Houston printed up
Playoff tickets about three months ago. The Astros had a bad spell in
August (so did the city of Houston as a whole, actually...good luck
to my flooded hometown) but the trade for Verlander and the
return of Golden Boy Carlos Correa seems to have reinvigorated
them.
Boston
is up on New York by 4 and you'd expect the Bronx Bombers to
relax and be happy with a Wild Card. Thing is, the Yankees have owned
the Sox lately and they keep trying to win the whole enchilada. So
far the Sox have been able to fend them off.
New
York is guaranteed one Wild Card...probably the first. Minnesota
looks good for number two with the Angels 7 game losing streak
canceling their second half resurrection. Texas and Kansas
City have mathematical chances of getting in if Minnesota starts
losing.
But
let's go with the overwhelming probability that the Yankees will host
the Wild Card Play-In against Minnesota and the winner of that one
will face the Indians or the Astros, whichever team winds up with the
best record. The other of those two will face Boston in a 5 game
Playoff.
But
before we spank this monkey, let us remember 1964 and the Famous
Philly Folly.
Philadelphia
had been having a great season and were 6 ½ games up on the
Cardinals and the Reds with 12 games left. Then they got
involved in a 0-0 contest with Cincinnati in a game in Philly.
6th
inning, one out... Chico Ruiz of the Reds singles. Vada
Pinson singles him over but stupidly gets thrown out trying to
stretch it into a double. So Ruiz is on third with two outs and Frank
Robinson up. (He of the soon to be double MVP, Triple Crown,
future Hall of Fame resume). Art Mahaffey, the big Phillies
right-hander, gets two strikes on Frank. All of a sudden, Chico
breaks for home.
Robinson
is more surprised than anybody. Why take the bat out of your clean-up
hitter's hands with a suicidal steal of home attempt? Not to mention
nobody else on the team had a clue. And with two strikes, Frank was
likely to swing at anything close. If he hits a liner down the third
base line, Ruiz could have been killed.
But
the startled Mahaffey's pitch was wide, Robinson stepped out and
Chico slid in safe for a 1-0 Red's lead. They went on to win the
shutout and the shocked Phillies proceeded to lose ten straight games
in all kinds of weird ways. Their manager Gene Mauch panicked
when the losing streak started to build and started pitching his two
big guns, Jim Bunning and Chris Short, on minimal rest.
Bunning made 4 starts in one 9 game stretch. Not surprisingly they
kept losing and let the Cards sneak in and win the pennant. No wild
cards as a consolation prize back then...it was all or nothing.
In
2017, the Dodgers have already had the big losing streak. They are
still staggering around, winning 4 then losing 4. I thought this
streak would piss them off so much that the indignity of it would
turn them into lions and their natural superiority would come roaring
back. Not so.
Last
night they made Madison Bumgarner look like he never took that
fateful dirt bike ride and hurt his shoulder at all. He's been giving
up big numbers ever since he came back from the DL. But not against
the Dodgers. MadBum made them look like bush-meat.
Even
though they just clinched the West, The Dodgeheads seem confused and
tenuous. Their starters have improved lately, but the team seems
vulnerable.
Now
is the time when David Roberts, he of the happy-face
managerial style, has to earn his money. Chase Utley and
Granderson and Justin Turner and Kershaw have to
turn on the Old Pro vibe and lead these youngsters to the Green Green
Pastures of Playoff Plenty. Nothing would be worse than for the
Dodgers to go 2-8 or something these last ten games and go into the
Playoffs as if they should apologize.
The
Arizona Diamondbacks and the Washington Nationals are lurking like
hyenas in the shadows... with a great hunger for carrion.
It's
Eat or be Eaten on the Baseball Savannah. (And so much for the
African predator metaphors.)
The
aforementioned Nationals are the new Darlings of Destiny according to
baseball media. Harper looks like he'll make it back for the
Playoffs and Tre Turner has been awesome in his return from DL
limbo. But it's the three-headed starter/monster of Scherzer,
Strasburg and Gio Gonzalez that makes them so
formidable. Especially now that the rebuilt Nats' bullpen is looking
so good.
My
personal opinion? The Nationals look better than they really are
because they played so many games against very weak Eastern Division
rivals Atlanta, New York and Philadelphia.
The
Cubs just don't seem to be scary this year with Lester looking
bad. (I told you he'd miss his personal catcher, David Ross!)
Arrieta and Hendricks will keep them in it, but I am not a
believer.
Arizona
would be the toughest Wild Card if they win the play-in game. They
have lots of pitching and several hot hitters. They are my dark horse
candidate to win it all.
But
I'll stick with my early season pick of Los Angeles to make the
Series.
Are
the Bosox for real? Only if they play the majority of their games at
Fenway. This is a home field club. They finish the season off at the
Fens, but I fear for them when they go into Cleveland or Houston for
a 5 game Playoff. Chris Sale will have to win 2 against either
of those teams.
Houston
is looking real good again. They need to keep getting good starts
from people other than Verlander, but their big lead has allowed them
to rest people like Altuve, Reddick and Beltran
and get them ready for Playoff action.
They'd
be the AL favorite if it weren't for…
Cleveland!
A decisive moment in history folks...the Cleveland Indians are the
team to beat.
Last
time the Indians faced the Dodgers in a World Series it was 1920. The
Indians had Tris Speaker (.388 to break up Ty Cobb's
nine year run as AL batting champion) and the Dodgers had Zach
Wheat in the outfield and spitballer Burleigh Grimes as an
Ace. The Series featured an unassisted triple play (Bill
Wambsganns), the first Series homer ever by a pitcher (Jim
Bagby), and the first grand slam in a Series (Elmer Smith).
All
of these firsts were executed by Cleveland players and the Indians
took the Classic 5 games to 2. (It was first to win 5 that year.)
I
hope you enjoy the rematch!
AL
ALL STAR TEAM:
LINEUP:
1/FRANKIE
LINDOR(S) SS
2/JOSE
ALTUVE(R) 2B
3/MIKE
TROUT(R) CF
4/ED
ENCARNACION(R) DH
5/JOSE
RAMIREZ(S) 3B
6/AARON
JUDGE(R) RF
7/ERIC
HOSMER(L) 1B
8/SAL
PEREZ(R) C
9/GEORGE
SPRINGER(R) LF
BENCH:
VAZQUEZ
(BOS) C
CORREA
(HOU) INF
GARCIA
(CHI) OF
MACHADO
(BALT) INF
BETTS
(BOS) OF/INF
STARTERS:
SALE(L)
KLUBER(R)
SEVERINO(R)
CARRASCO(R)
SANTANA(R)
BULLPEN:
KIMBREL(R)(closer)
CHAPMAN(L)
BETANCES(R)
MILLER(L)
OSUNA(R)TOR
COLOME(R)TB
NL
ALL STAR TEAM:
LINEUP:
1/BLACKMON(L) CF
2/VOTTO(L) DH
3/GOLDSCHMIDT(R) 1B
4/ARENADO(R)
3B
5/HARPER(L) LF
6/STANTON(R)
RF
7/POSEY(R)
C
8/GORDON(L)
2B
9/COZART(R)
SS
BENCH:
TRE
TURNER (WASH) IF/OF
OZUNA
(MIA) OF
MURPHY
(NY) INF
BELLINGER
(LA) INF/OF
MOLINA
(ST.L) C
STARTERS:
KERSHAW(L)
SCHERZER(R)
GREINKE(R)
RAY(R)
(ARIZ)
BULLPEN:
JANSEN(R)
closer
HAND(L)
(SD)
DOOLITTLE
(WASH)
DEGROM
(NY)
HILL(L)
(LA)
STRASBURG(R)
WADE
DAVIS(R)
AFTERWORD:
The
Indians deserve our thanks for their great winning streak of 22
games...second only to the 26 straight won by the 1916 New York
Giants. Very entertaining, Tribe!
Some
people put an asterisk by the Giants' feat because they had one tie
in that streak. (In the old days rain outs and long games that had to
end before sunset were sometimes not finished) Some curiosities from
that season:
The
Giants came off of an 8 game losing streak in May and won 17 in a
row. All 17 games were on the road! Then they coasted until July when
they traded their legendary pitcher Christy Mathewson. From Sept.7
until Sept.30 they never lost. The tie came after the twelfth game in
the second game of a double header in Pittsburgh when rain ended the
game in the 8th inning, tied up 1-1. The game didn't count
in the stats or standings.
After
all that, for the season the Giants finished...FOURTH!
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