Saturday, April 1, 2017

Marco's Baseball Blog-O-Roonie 2017: Fearless Predictions Redux! AL

MARCO'S BASEBALL BLOG-O-ROONIE 2017: FEARLESS PREDICTIONS REDUX! AL

HEY YOUSE GUYS! Time to wake up! It's Baseball Season!
I am here once again to annoy and percolate. So listen up and get ready to argue. I present the 2017 Team Rankings and Predictions! Today? The AMERICAN LEAGUE!

I'm using my Hollywood Star Rating system again. Need I remind you? Okay, I will:

5*stars= among the best of all time.
4*stars=really good
3*stars=a little above average
2 ½*stars=average
1*star=stinko
0*stars=a real liability...they're playing the batboy.
I'm rating teams in 5 categories: offensive lineup, defense, starting rotation, bullpen and leadership.
Leadership” is managers and coaches, but also includes the roles of the front office, clubhouse chemistry and inspiration and the ever elusive “JUJU”...good or bad.
Breaking offense down into categories like speed and power doesn't change the overall effectiveness of your offense. You can do it like Kansas City with small ball and speed or you can do like Baltimore and brutalize people to death. It's still just offense.
Having two categories of pitching weights the final score accurately (I think) in that it recognizes the supreme importance of your pitching staff.
Let us proceed:
AL EAST: The always Beastly East has reloaded and is once again the hotbed of cutthroat competition.
1st place: BOSTON
They are strong in all 5 categories and have a great core of young players who have some experience now. With Big Papi leaving a legacy of leadership and sportsmanship they should cruise into the Playoffs.
Offense: 4*
Defense: 4* ...especially outstanding in the outfield (which is pretty much what outfielders do, right? They're out there standing...oh well, just forget it). Good defensive catchers in Leon and Vasquez. Pedroia and Bogaerts good in the middle. Weak on the infield corners if Panda plays third but good defensive help in Brock Holt and Mitch Moreland.
Starters: 4 1/2*...if Price comes back healthy and Chris Sale doesn't suffer the Fenway Vapors in his first season in front of the ravenous Boston fans this could be a 5* staff. Lots of depth when somebody gets hurt.
Bullpen: 3 1/2*...good closer in Kimbrel. But every year they go out and spend big money on a big arm to be the 8th inning guy and every year that guy turns into a gerbil. Carson Smith last year. Mark Melancon a few years ago. So this year I fear for Tyler Thornburg.
An important piece for them is knuckler Stephen Wright. He can come out of the pen and spot start or be a regular rotation guy. He was an All Star last year and he can eat up innings and rest the bullpen.
Leadership: 4*...The players seem to be having fun and that's always GOOD JUJU.
I like the attitude of Dombrowski. You need it? I'll go out and get it. Let's win now. Manager John Farrell doesn't show much imagination sometimes but he's steady and the pitchers seem to like him (One of Us!). At least he had the nerve to rearrange the lineup last year and move Mookie Betts from leadoff to clean up. That worked great with Papi in the third spot. But this year he seems to think Betts should bat third in front of Hanley Ramirez. He's wrong. The better contact hitter should bat fourth and the slugger should hit third to get more good pitches to slaughter. This has been proven over and over and yet old school managers still can't buy into it. With two outs and a man on, Betts can beat out a grounder and steal a run. Also, Hanley doesn't want the pressure of batting leadoff. He should bat third in front of Mookie. It should go:
against right handed starters...
Pedroia, Benitendi, Ramirez, Betts, Panda (DH), Bogaerts, Bradley Jr., Leon or Vasquez, Brock Holt(3rd Base)
And they should let Moreland start at first occasionally and let Hanley DH and Panda sit.
against lefties...
Pedroia, Benitendi, Ramirez, Betts, Chris Young (DH), Bradley Jr., Bogaerts, Leon or Vasquez, Holt.
Keep moving Holt around to rest people at various positions but leave him in the lineup...he produces. And he's a much better third sacker than Panda, who is bottom of the barrel on D. If they bring up Blake Swihart later this year he might DH when he's not catching. That's another good switch hitter.
20*...FIRST PLACE!
2nd place: TORONTO
Not quite as scary without Encarnacion. That guy is vastly underrated. Just ask Baltimore and the Red Sox. But this year their pitching has come alive and they shouldn't have to bludgeon people to death to win a few games. The Jays are a smokin' team.
Offense: 3 1/2*...which means they're very good. Last year I had them at 5* and I have to take something off for losing Edwin Encarnacion and watching Bautista and Tulowitzski regress. They also have weakness offensively in the outfield and at second base.
Defense: 4*...strong everywhere except maybe Bautista if he plays right.
Starters: 4 1/2*...this is where they've jumped up. Stroman was great in the World Baseball Classic. Estrada and Happ were lights out last year. Expect Francisco Liriano to be real good again now that he is reunited with his favorite catcher Russell Martin.
But the kicker is Aaron Sanchez. 15-2 last year with a league leading (for starters) 3.00 ERA. Close to 3-1 K-BB ratio. He's only 25. You're looking at the next Great One. He'll finish first or second in the Cy Young race this year.
The only problem is depth. They just don't have it like Boston does.
Bullpen: 3 1/2*...closer Osuna is terrific but the rest are fairly pedestrian.
Leadership: 3 1/2*...they lose a star for having Bautista on their team and losing Encarnacion. Donaldson is the Man now.
19*...SECOND PLACE!
3rd place: NEW YORK
I know. I'm as surprised as you are. I expected the Orioles to rate higher than the Bombers but New York has a lot of depth and Baltimore has none. Both teams strike out way too much but Baltimore is more one dimensional in their homer or nothing approach. (The O's had only 19 steals all season...last in baseball.) The real separation comes in the Bullpen...the Yanks have one of the best and the Orioles are suspect trying to get to Britton.
Offense: 2 1/2*...that's right, the famous Yankees, scourge of the American League, are merely an average offensive club. The top of the lineup is weak with Brett Gardner (106K's)and Jacoby Ellsbury now .260 hitters with no power and limited stolen base effectiveness. They're depending on rookies Greg Bird and Gary Sanchez in the middle of the lineup. I doubt those two will live up to Ruth/Gehrig, DiMaggio/Keller, Mantle/Maris, Mattingly/Winfield, ARod/Texeira of Yankee juggernauts past. Matt Holliday is Dhing and Chris Carter might play first! (There's a quick 350 Ks for you!) Aaron Judge in right...add another 200 strike outs to the team total. This could get ugly. Starlin Castro (118K's) may be the most consistent hitter in their lineup. They're still paying Chase Headley (118K's in just over 500 official at bats...only 14 homers) for God's sake!
Defense: 3 1/2*
Starters: 2 1/2*...Tanaka is great but he's getting on and his elbow is no younger. CC Sabathia is a gamer and I respect the hell out of him but he left his fastball back in 2009. Pineda, Severino and Cessa? No consistency at all yet.
Bullpen: 4 1/2*...the strength of the team. Aroldis, Betances, Warren, Clippard, Layne...best in baseball.
Leadership: 3 1/2*...mostly because of Girardi. He's a really good manager. Has the respect of the team, handles the pitchers well and handles the media in New York.
16 1/2*: THIRD PLACE!
4th place: BALTIMORE
As I said above...lots of homers (5th team in MLB history to hit over 250 home runs), lots of strikeouts, no depth, no pitching except for Zach Britton.
Offense: 3 1/2*...maybe if Chris Davis and Mark Trumbo each hit 50 taters and Jones and Machado hit 40 each this score could go up.
Defense: 3 1/2*... Machado is the best defensive third sacker in the League. Infield defense rates high, outfield low.
Starters: 2*...Tillman hurt again. He was their #1 last year. Bundy is ok. Gausman, Gallardo and Miley are space fillers.
Bullpen: 3 1/2*...about two of those stars belong to Zach Britton. He throws the unhittable sinker. Brach is a good set-up man.
Leadership: 3*...I think Bucky Showalter is overrated. Adam Jones is an inspirational leader and Machado is heading in that direction. Why can't management stop resenting the Nationals for cutting into the Oriole fan base next door in Washington and start building a pitching staff?
15 1/2*: FOURTH PLACE!
5th place: TAMPA BAY
Step right up...come on in...if you'd like to take the Grand Tour of this lonely house that once was home sweet home...” (George Jones)
Major League Baseball is letting Tampa Bay hang there on the hook and slowly twist in the wind. Their ballpark is a dark, turgid Tropicana mess and it's in the wrong place. In the modern age of urban traffic nightmare nobody wants to drive to it, even when the team was winning. So the Rays never draw enough to make any money...especially not if they want to compete in the strong AL East. So every strong free agent leaves or they're forced to trade them at a loss and that depresses fan interest even more.
MLB has to help this team and other basket cases like Oakland relocate in a spot where they can make enough money to compete. The sad thing is that Tampa Bay (and Oakland) have scouted so well and traded so adroitly (most of the time) that they have had a few seasons when they almost won.
Offense: 1 1/2*...it's bad...really bad. Evan Longoria on an island hacking at coconuts with his machete. Maybe they should try T-Ball.
Defense: 3 1/2*...best centerfielder in the bigs this side of Trout in Kevin Kiermaier. He has to be good because the guys on the corners are statues. Duffy is a great shortstop.
Starters: 4*...among the best in baseball...for the few years that they'll be together. Archer, Odorizzi,Cobb, Smiley, Snell...they're already lining up to get traded (like Matt Moore last year and David Price two years ago)or become free agents and get some money from teams that actually have a chance to win something.
Bullpen: 2 1/2*...Colome is a stud... Boxberger was good but he got hurt last year. We'll see. The rest aren't. They gave up the most ninth inning homers in the majors last year.
Leadership: 1 1/2*...it's hard to be the leader when you know everybody is just going to follow you into the slaughterhouse. They know they're going to lose. BAD JUJU.
13*...FIFTH PLACE!
Al CENTRAL
These teams have been punishing each other for years, taking turns at the top. But none of them have enough coin to pull away for long. They are the rust-belt survivor teams and Kansas City.
KC seemed to get a leg up when they went to the World Series two years in a row and won in 2015, but the usual small market Ebola-monkey bit them and now they are about to lose most of their stars to the big market teams. They scout well and should come up with some replacements, but their last rebuild took them about three decades to pay off.
Detroit was the Big Boss Man of the Central for awhile but they stubbornly refused to accept the reality that you have to have a bullpen to win in modern baseball. Starters don't go more than 6 or 7 innings and you have to use 4 or 5 pitchers every game. So Detroit burned out their starters...the ones they didn't lose to free agency...and squandered their slugging offense. Chicago flailed around for a couple of decades and have now wisely accepted a rebuild. Minnesota stopped recruiting pitchers and fell off the edge of the world. And Cleveland...well!
1st place: CLEVELAND
Back in the 90's Cleveland built some teams with truly scary offensive capacity. But they never had the pitching to match and so failed to win the Big One. But now...check out the ratings.
Offense: 4*...strength throughout the lineup. 3 switch hitters make them hard to bullpen. Power with Encarnacion, Santana, Kipnis and others. High average guys Lindor, Ramirez and Tyler Naquin. Speed all over even though they lost World Series hero and AL stolen base leader Rajai Davis. They scored the second most runs in the AL last year without Encarnacion hitting in the middle of the order. If they get Michael Brantley back healthy they could smoke the league. (and rate an extra half star)
Brace yourself...SS Francisco Lindor is an MVP candidate who will be a Gold Glove/Batting Champ/Stolen Base leader type of player.
Defense: 3 1/2*...I mentioned Lindor but they have some good defense all over.
Starters: 4*...right up there with Boston, Toronto and Tampa Bay now that the injured Carlos Carrasco and Danny Salazar are back. Kluber is a Cy Young winner who looks good enough to win another with that great curve ball. Trevor Bauer and Josh Tomlin? Other teams wish they had 4-5 starters like that.
Bullpen: 4 1/2*...only New York beats them. KC was a little better back when they had Herrera, Wade Davis, Holland, Hochevar and Madson all at full strength. (Alas, bullpens never last because the typical reliever is a fireballer who uses max effort every pitch and works at least every other day...elbows and shoulders don't seem to like that unless you're Mariano Rivera.)
Even though Cody Allen is the closer and Brian Shaw the set-up, it's Andrew Miller who really anchors the pen. He's good for two or three innings as needed and struck out 123 batters in 74 innings last year(!!)
Leadership: 4*...Terry Francona...Manager of the Year for the second time. Lindor comes into his own as a team leader. Kipnis and Encarnacion give them the grit. Kluber is a Klubber. If they get Michael Brantley back it will raise the team morale in a big way and will provide...GOOD JUJU. (Add half a star if that happens.)
Management is all in and the team was tested in the fires of hell in barely losing to the Cubs last Fall. But the Adorables barely beat them, even though the Indians only had two fifths of a rotation. This year will be different. Just like the Royals did in 2015, the Indians will return to the Series and this time...they'll win. Book your tickets for Cleveland now.
20*...FIRST PLACE!
2nd place...DETROIT
A bloated, $200+ million payroll. Aging roster. This is it. They have to do it this year and then break up the team.
Offense: 4*...you know all about it. They look too powerful to lose but then you notice that they only have one left-handed hitter (switch-hitter DH Victor Martinez). 6 twenty+ home run guys (actually 3rd baseman Castellanos had 18 in only 110 games) Miguel Cabrera...a true Hall of Famer. Enjoy him while you can.
Defense: 2* ...short/second combo rocks with Iglesias and Kinsler but Iglesias is a head-case. Catcher McCann threw out 45% of runners. Average to bad everywhere else.
Starters: 4*...if they stay healthy...but no depth. Words of caution. Verlander, Fulmer, Norris all look strong. Anibel Sanchez was pitching like his old no-hit self this Spring. Jordan Zimmerman started great and then collapsed. If he comes back...but I think the Tigers got him about three years past his sell-by date.
Bullpen: 2 1/2*...at least they had a good closer in Francisco Rodriguez (44 saves). Need some better middle innings guys.
Leadership: 2*... Brad Ausmus has been on the hot seat for a couple of years now. Win or else. I think the players might be a little bitter that management never got them a bullpen to get them over the hump in these years of awesome lineups and rotations. (They had three Cy Young winners in the rotation at one point with Verlander, Scherzer and Porcello all pitching for the Tigres.)
14 1/2*...Second Place!
2nd place (tie): KANSAS CITY
See above for the sad truth. I loved to watch them the last few years. Such a refreshing novelty to have a scrappy, daring stolen base/bunting club holding teams in the late innings with lights out relievers and scoring late themselves with clutch players and leaders like Hosmer, Cain, Moustakis, Gordon and Sal Perez.
Thanks Royals...you stood the baseball paradigm on its ear for a few seasons there. May your glory never fade!
Offense: 3 1/2*...they had to trade Wade Davis or else pay him $10 mil. They got Jorge Soler from the Cubs but Jorge is hurt again. That may be all she wrote for the fragile fellow. (What did the Cubs know and when did they know it?) Sal Perez got hurt by his own backup catcher (Drew Butera)in the WBC. Hosmer, Cain and Moustakis are playing for contracts so they will probably be good this year. (A note of cynicism I grant you.) Valuable backup outfielder/speedster Jarrod Dyson...gone. Keystone guys Escobar and Mondesi can field but not hit. (Compare to Cleveland, Boston et al.)
Defense: 3 1/2*... middle is strong (catcher, short, second and center.) Left field also good. Just average at third and first. Who plays right after Soler went down?
Starters: 1*...When Yordano Ventura (RIP) was lost, so was this rotation. Danny Duffy is their stopper?
Bullpen: 2 1/2*...oh how the mighty have fallen. Kelvin Herrera looks lonely out there in the pen. Soria disappointed as a set up man last year.
Leadership: 4*...5 dynamic player/leaders in Hosmer, Cain, Perez, Moustakis and Gordon.
14 1/2*...tied for SECOND PLACE!
4th place: MINNESOTA
God Bless the Twinkards. Joe Mauer is headed for the DH at 34. They'll probably have to trade their one star Brian Dozier. They are playing a bunch of kids who are slowly oh so slowly getting better. They've got one pitcher who can bring it. (Ervin Santana) But they are making progress and should be a contender in two or three years.
Offense: 2 1/2*..especially when you compare them to the three top teams in this division. The Twinks are way back there, but surprisingly they were a middle of the pack offensive team in the whole MLB last year. They lagged in average and on base percentage but 12th in homers and 16th in runs ...that's not bad...
Defense: 2*...but they were 29th in team fielding percentage...
Starters: 1*...and they were major league last in wins and opp batting average and 29th in ERA.
Bullpen: 2*...and last in saves too, but that's because they never had a lead to protect! Brandon Kintzler is actually a pretty good closer with a 4 to 1 K/BB ratio.
Leadership: 3 1/2*...manager Paul Molitor is the real deal. He keeps the ship afloat. The players play hard. There's hope and Twinkie pride here. Go 'Sota!
11*...FOURTH PLACE!
5th place: CHICAGO
5th place but not for long. The White Stockings have loaded up on good prospects after trading their stars. They scalped Washington in the Eaton trade and got three of the top pitching prospects in baseball. (Lucas Giolito, Reynaldo Lopez and Dane Dunning) And got Michael Kopeck (105mph fastball) and top prospect in baseball Yoan Moncada for Chris Sale. These guys will start crushing it in two years. That spells resurrection for the long-suffering Sox.
Offense: 2*...they were near the bottom in baseball last year but they still have Frazier (40 homers), Jose Abreu (.293/25/100) and Melky Cabrera (.296/14/86/42 doubles). They will probably trade two of those guys in July when they can get the best deals.
Defense: 1 1/2*...they have to play a lot of youngsters now. Weak on the corners and at catcher. Centerfielder Tilson is good and so is shortstop Tim Anderson.
Starters: 1*...a rotation full of ghosts like James Shields and Derek Holland and projects like Carlos Rondon. Leftie Jose Quintana is legit...and that's why they'll trade him real soon...maybe to Houston.
Bullpen: 3*...but do they need a good bullpen to finish last? They will trade David Robertson to some contender that needs a good closer. When they do this group will go down to one star.
Leadership: 2*...a couple of gamers like Frazier but how can you lead when you're on the block? New leaders must emerge from the minors. Management has a plan...give them a star for that. The current lineup knows that the Sox are going to get better...but they won't be around to see it. BAD JUJU.
9 1/2*...FIFTH PLACE!
*NOTE: The top three clubs Cleveland, KC and Detroit get to play the rebuilding Twins and White Sox 19 times each. This means there's a very good chance that at least one wild card team will come from the Central. The East and the West are much tougher for the contenders.
AL WEST
Now we're talking! I have no idea who will win this division. It will be either Houston, Texas or Seattle. That's all I can tell you. Everything else depends on health and JUJU.
The pitching is universally bad in this division unless somebody somewhere makes a trade. If Houston gets Quintana from Chicago as is rumored that may push them over the top as long as their other starters pitch as expected. (Kuechel doesn't have to win the Cy Young again, just pitch decently.)
King Felix has to hold his own up in Seattle and if the Mariners make one big trade for pitching that may do it for them. They came on strong at the end of last year.
Texas needs Cole Hamels and Yu Darvish to pitch like number ones and go get somebody...anybody... to be a third starter they can count on.
1st place: TEXAS
Offense: 3 1/2*...plenty of pop with Beltre, Odor, Lucroy and Mazara. Good leftie/rightie balance.
Defense: 4*...Beltre an all-timer, Andrus still a stud at short, Lucroy top five catcher and Carlos Gomez is a hotdog but can play center field real good.
Starters: 3*...is Hamels still a Number 1? Not if you go by the last month of the season and the playoffs. Is Darvish all the way back from elbow surgery? I doubt it. So that's a shaky three stars. They need a trade for a sure thing. Martin Perez, Nick Martinez and Andrew Cashner are not good at all.
Bullpen: 4* Luckily the Strangers have a great pen with four or five potential closers. This could develop into a 4 ½ or 5* bullpen. Sam Dyson, Matt Bush, Tony Barnette and Jeremy Jeffress...they might be Giants (especially if they trade one or more of them for Jeff Samardja or Matt Moore!)
More better the Rangy Ones keep all these youngsters and go get Quintana before the Astros grab him. They should trade Jurickson Profar who doesn't have a position still.
*Note: Having Lucroy at catcher all year could make a big difference in how well the pitchers perform. He's a key player.
Leadership: 4*...when you've got a future Hall of Famer like Adrian Beltre on your team you get 4 stars for leadership. Along with Jose Altuve he's the best inspirational team leader in baseball now that Papi has retired.
Odor inspired the team with his well-timed right cross to Jose Bautista's jaw. He clipped the lip of the Big Bat Flip! It cost him a 7 game suspension but it was worth it to the morale of the team and got them over the memory of that corn cob they choked on in the 2014 playoffs.
18 1/2*... FIRST PLACE!
2nd place: HOUSTON
Oh the Disastros...still looking for their first Championship after 55 years in the major leagues. It's downright embarrassing. They have a good club...flawed but still good. And if the pitching comes around they could romp through this division. But that's a big “IF”. still and all...they are the sexy pick to win the West. I, however, am immune to their charms.
Offense: 3 1/2*...I know, I know. They went out and got Carlos Beltran who had a very good year last year. But Carlos is 40 and even though he hit 22 homers in only 99 games...how much can he still have left in the tank? I respectfully defer and remained uncommitted, even though I applaud him as a great hitter. He can't field anymore. They also got Josh Reddick from Oakland and he had a great year last year with 28 dingers and a .296 BA. He gets hurt with alarming regularity.
My main reason for optimism on behalf of the Turf-Monkeys is their power: Gattis 32 homers. McCann 20. Altuve 24. Correa 20. Beltran 22. Springer 29. I also think Altuve is league MVP or close to it. And Carlos Correa will have a break out offensive season. Something like .290/35/120.
They also have two new players...Alex Bregman at third and Yulieski Gurriel at first. These guys are proven hitters in other, lesser leagues. If they come through, Houston could have a scary and deep lineup.
My main reason for pessimism on behalf of my Hometown Heroes is their strike outs: Gattis 127. McCann 99 in 130 games. Correa 139. Marwin Gonzalez 118. Springer 178.
The Astros are vulnerable to the good starters and strike out relievers and that's their Achilles Heel. They could be a 4 1/2* if all goes well. Or they could be a 3* if all does not. I hedge my bets.
Defense: 3 1/2*...short/second A+. first/third C+ catcher B outfield Reddick A. Everybody else C except Marisnick who gets an A but can't hit enough to play much.
Starters: 2 1/2*...McHugh was their best man with 4.34 ERA and 3 to 1 K/BB ratio. Keuchel is their only leftie and they really need him to straighten out his problems and pitch for them. That could make the difference in the season.
Bullpen: 3 1/2*...they stunk it up in the first half and that put the team behind the eight ball for the whole season. The pen rallied well in the second half though and if that continues watch out. Giles, Gregerson, Harris, Feliz and Hoyt all averaged over one K per inning.
Leadership: 4*...because of Altuve and Beltran and the impetuous nature of youth. A.J. Hinch is an unimaginative manager but he stands by his young players.
17*...SECOND PLACE!
3rd place: SEATTLE
They've built up the offense but they don't have the pitching. Points for trying Seattle, but no cigar without a rotation.
Offense: 3 1/2*...They finished in the top ten in the majors in virtually everything but steals. That's amazing since they had almost nothing in the way of outfield offense. Jean Segura at short could make them even more potent, even though they still have a feeble offensive outfield.
Defense: 3*...those puny hitters in the outfield must be good for something, right? But it's only Leonys Martin in center and rookies at the corners. Seager regressed at third, but Segura is a big improvement at short. Backup Carlos Ruiz should improve the catching.
Starters: 2 1/2*...Felix Hernandez showed his age last year. He has to turn crafty to hold on this year. Iwakuma is 35 and he's a finesse pitcher too. Only James Paxton has a power arm in the rotation and he sported an almost 5 to 1 K/BB ratio, which is always a good indicator of how effective a pitcher will be. He's young though. The Segura trade cost them Taijuan Walker. Big loss.
Bullpen: 3*...no names seem to get the job done. Edwin Diaz is the closer and Marc Rzepczynski is the leftie arm with the impossible to pronounce name. They're very good, even though cavernous Safeco Field knocks about a run off their ERA.
Leadership: 3*...Cano should be the leader on the field but a leader can't dog it on ground balls. (I know, I pick on him all the time for that flaw but it's an insult to the game not to burn it down to first on double play grounders. Papi's excuse was bad feet but at least he hustled on double play grounders!! And Cano is a lot faster than Papi ever was.)
Scott Servais did pretty good turning the player's heads around in his first season managing at any level.
15*...THIRD PLACE!
4th place: LOS ANGELES ANGELS
Offense: 3*...only because Mike Trout is the best player in the game.
Defense: 4*...strong up the middle (with Andrelton Simmons at short being maybe the best defensive shortstop in the majors and Trout in the top 5 of center fielders.)
Starters: 1*...major stinko. Garrett Richards has been hurt...Ricky Nolasco is their opening day starter. Nuff said.
Bullpen: 1 1/2*...if Houston Street wasn't 33 and coming off his worst year this could maybe work. But I sense a disturbance in the Force...The Angel's bullpen will reek.
Leadership: 2 1/2*...they've got to be losing faith in Mike Scioscia. They're coming out of a power struggle between GM Jerry Dipoto and Scioscia and an ugly divorce between owner Arte Moreno and Josh Hamilton which is leaving the Angels all but broke.
Trout and Pujols? Outstanding on the field leaders.
12*...FOURTH PLACE!
5th place...OAKLAND
If only the so-called Commissioner would step in and negotiate a deal with the Giants: let Oakland move their club out of that ridiculous football venue at the Coliseum and go to the happy hunting grounds of San Jose. (The Giants have some clause in their by laws that includes San Jose in their “territory” even though San Jose is thirty miles farther away than Oakland. )How good would that be for baseball in the Bay Area? I mean, even the Raiders got to move out of Oakland. And don't feel sorry for Oaktown...they have the Golden State Warriors don't they? Do it, idiots! Stop torturing Athletics fans!
This is a very depressing situation.
Offense: 2*...outside of Khris Davis and his 42 taters there is no joy in Mudville.
Defense: 2*...ordinary. Very ordinary.
Starters: 2 1/2*...Sonny Gray used to be their Ace. Then he got hurt. Now they can't even trade him for help. That sucks. Graveman, Manaea, Cotton and Triggs...not exactly household names in the rest of the rotation but the first two aren't bad.
Bullpen: 2*...very high ERAs considering they play in the worst hitter's park of all time. (Well at least since the Astrodome.) Ryan Madson saved 30 games but saves really don't mean much. His ERA was 3.62. Set-up man Ryan Dull looks good at 2.42 with a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio until you realize that he was incredibly lucky with a .209 average- against on balls in play. (BABIP for you stat geeks) That's 89 points below league average and he ain't that good.
Leadership: 1*...go ahead...lead me on to my doom. We've seen this movie before...the A's are rebuilding.
Billy Beane: the Emperor has no Clothes.
9 1/2*...FIFTH PLACE!
In Summation:
Boston, Cleveland and Texas should win the divisions with the wild cards coming from Detroit, Kansas City, Toronto and maybe Houston.
I'll stick my neck out and say it's Toronto over Detroit in the Wild Card play in game. Boston over Toronto and Cleveland over Texas in the next round and Cleveland over Boston for the pennant.
MVP: Francisco Lindor or Carlos Correa
Cy Young: Aroldis Chapman or Aaron Sanchez.


Expect the National League rundown in a couple of days. Enjoy the beginning of the Season!
Salud!
--Marco Perella


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