Sunday, September 24, 2017

MARCO'S BASEBALL BLOG-O-ROONIE 2017: 1 WEEK TO GO!


MARCO'S BASEBALL BLOG-O-ROONIE 2017: 1 WEEK TO GO!

With only a week remaining on the schedule, one would think the pennant races were pretty much decided. But one would be a fool, wouldn't one?

The Nationals have already clinched in the NL East. The Dodgers, despite a recent 5-20 swoon, have won the West by plenty. The Cubs have gone 8-2 in the last ten to sew up a Playoff spot and all but win the Central officially.

The NL First Wild Card looks like Arizona for sure. They've been giving up a lot of runs lately but they look to host the Play-In game. Colorado, which has been solid all year, has suddenly gone ice cold at the plate...even at home in Denver-Launch-City. Shut out in 3 out of 4! What on Earth? That has opened up better possibilities for Milwaukee and St. Louis. Seeing this, the Brewers promptly spit the bit and lost 3 very winnable games in a row before Shaw hit a walk off against the Cubs last night. Now the Cardinals...underachieving all year...are hovering hopefully just a game and a half out of the second Wild Card.

Best guess is Arizona hosts somebody for a one game Wild Card Play-In. Winner faces the Dodgers and all their recent question marks. Washington and the Cubs will rassle for the Championship berth.

In the AL, Cleveland has flattened the Central with that magnificent 22 game win streak and Houston printed up Playoff tickets about three months ago. The Astros had a bad spell in August (so did the city of Houston as a whole, actually...good luck to my flooded hometown) but the trade for Verlander and the return of Golden Boy Carlos Correa seems to have reinvigorated them.

Boston is up on New York by 4 and you'd expect the Bronx Bombers to relax and be happy with a Wild Card. Thing is, the Yankees have owned the Sox lately and they keep trying to win the whole enchilada. So far the Sox have been able to fend them off.

New York is guaranteed one Wild Card...probably the first. Minnesota looks good for number two with the Angels 7 game losing streak canceling their second half resurrection. Texas and Kansas City have mathematical chances of getting in if Minnesota starts losing.

But let's go with the overwhelming probability that the Yankees will host the Wild Card Play-In against Minnesota and the winner of that one will face the Indians or the Astros, whichever team winds up with the best record. The other of those two will face Boston in a 5 game Playoff.

But before we spank this monkey, let us remember 1964 and the Famous Philly Folly.

Philadelphia had been having a great season and were 6 ½ games up on the Cardinals and the Reds with 12 games left. Then they got involved in a 0-0 contest with Cincinnati in a game in Philly.

6th inning, one out... Chico Ruiz of the Reds singles. Vada Pinson singles him over but stupidly gets thrown out trying to stretch it into a double. So Ruiz is on third with two outs and Frank Robinson up. (He of the soon to be double MVP, Triple Crown, future Hall of Fame resume). Art Mahaffey, the big Phillies right-hander, gets two strikes on Frank. All of a sudden, Chico breaks for home.

Robinson is more surprised than anybody. Why take the bat out of your clean-up hitter's hands with a suicidal steal of home attempt? Not to mention nobody else on the team had a clue. And with two strikes, Frank was likely to swing at anything close. If he hits a liner down the third base line, Ruiz could have been killed.

But the startled Mahaffey's pitch was wide, Robinson stepped out and Chico slid in safe for a 1-0 Red's lead. They went on to win the shutout and the shocked Phillies proceeded to lose ten straight games in all kinds of weird ways. Their manager Gene Mauch panicked when the losing streak started to build and started pitching his two big guns, Jim Bunning and Chris Short, on minimal rest. Bunning made 4 starts in one 9 game stretch. Not surprisingly they kept losing and let the Cards sneak in and win the pennant. No wild cards as a consolation prize back then...it was all or nothing.

In 2017, the Dodgers have already had the big losing streak. They are still staggering around, winning 4 then losing 4. I thought this streak would piss them off so much that the indignity of it would turn them into lions and their natural superiority would come roaring back. Not so.
Last night they made Madison Bumgarner look like he never took that fateful dirt bike ride and hurt his shoulder at all. He's been giving up big numbers ever since he came back from the DL. But not against the Dodgers. MadBum made them look like bush-meat.

Even though they just clinched the West, The Dodgeheads seem confused and tenuous. Their starters have improved lately, but the team seems vulnerable.

Now is the time when David Roberts, he of the happy-face managerial style, has to earn his money. Chase Utley and Granderson and Justin Turner and Kershaw have to turn on the Old Pro vibe and lead these youngsters to the Green Green Pastures of Playoff Plenty. Nothing would be worse than for the Dodgers to go 2-8 or something these last ten games and go into the Playoffs as if they should apologize.

The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Washington Nationals are lurking like hyenas in the shadows... with a great hunger for carrion.

It's Eat or be Eaten on the Baseball Savannah. (And so much for the African predator metaphors.)

The aforementioned Nationals are the new Darlings of Destiny according to baseball media. Harper looks like he'll make it back for the Playoffs and Tre Turner has been awesome in his return from DL limbo. But it's the three-headed starter/monster of Scherzer, Strasburg and Gio Gonzalez that makes them so formidable. Especially now that the rebuilt Nats' bullpen is looking so good.

My personal opinion? The Nationals look better than they really are because they played so many games against very weak Eastern Division rivals Atlanta, New York and Philadelphia.

The Cubs just don't seem to be scary this year with Lester looking bad. (I told you he'd miss his personal catcher, David Ross!) Arrieta and Hendricks will keep them in it, but I am not a believer.

Arizona would be the toughest Wild Card if they win the play-in game. They have lots of pitching and several hot hitters. They are my dark horse candidate to win it all.

But I'll stick with my early season pick of Los Angeles to make the Series.

Are the Bosox for real? Only if they play the majority of their games at Fenway. This is a home field club. They finish the season off at the Fens, but I fear for them when they go into Cleveland or Houston for a 5 game Playoff. Chris Sale will have to win 2 against either of those teams.

Houston is looking real good again. They need to keep getting good starts from people other than Verlander, but their big lead has allowed them to rest people like Altuve, Reddick and Beltran and get them ready for Playoff action.
They'd be the AL favorite if it weren't for…

Cleveland! A decisive moment in history folks...the Cleveland Indians are the team to beat.

Last time the Indians faced the Dodgers in a World Series it was 1920. The Indians had Tris Speaker (.388 to break up Ty Cobb's nine year run as AL batting champion) and the Dodgers had Zach Wheat in the outfield and spitballer Burleigh Grimes as an Ace. The Series featured an unassisted triple play (Bill Wambsganns), the first Series homer ever by a pitcher (Jim Bagby), and the first grand slam in a Series (Elmer Smith).

All of these firsts were executed by Cleveland players and the Indians took the Classic 5 games to 2. (It was first to win 5 that year.)

I hope you enjoy the rematch!

AL ALL STAR TEAM:

LINEUP:

1/FRANKIE LINDOR(S) SS
2/JOSE ALTUVE(R) 2B
3/MIKE TROUT(R) CF
4/ED ENCARNACION(R) DH
5/JOSE RAMIREZ(S) 3B
6/AARON JUDGE(R) RF
7/ERIC HOSMER(L) 1B
8/SAL PEREZ(R) C
9/GEORGE SPRINGER(R) LF

BENCH:

VAZQUEZ (BOS) C
CORREA (HOU) INF
GARCIA (CHI) OF
MACHADO (BALT) INF
BETTS (BOS) OF/INF

STARTERS:

SALE(L)
KLUBER(R)
SEVERINO(R)
CARRASCO(R)
SANTANA(R)

BULLPEN:

KIMBREL(R)(closer)
CHAPMAN(L)
BETANCES(R)
MILLER(L)
OSUNA(R)TOR
COLOME(R)TB

NL ALL STAR TEAM:

LINEUP:

1/BLACKMON(L) CF
2/VOTTO(L) DH
3/GOLDSCHMIDT(R) 1B
4/ARENADO(R) 3B
5/HARPER(L) LF
6/STANTON(R) RF
7/POSEY(R) C
8/GORDON(L) 2B
9/COZART(R) SS

BENCH:

TRE TURNER (WASH) IF/OF
OZUNA (MIA) OF
MURPHY (NY) INF
BELLINGER (LA) INF/OF
MOLINA (ST.L) C

STARTERS:

KERSHAW(L)
SCHERZER(R)
GREINKE(R)
RAY(R) (ARIZ)

BULLPEN:

JANSEN(R) closer
HAND(L) (SD)
DOOLITTLE (WASH)
DEGROM (NY)
HILL(L) (LA)
STRASBURG(R)
WADE DAVIS(R)

AFTERWORD:

The Indians deserve our thanks for their great winning streak of 22 games...second only to the 26 straight won by the 1916 New York Giants. Very entertaining, Tribe!

Some people put an asterisk by the Giants' feat because they had one tie in that streak. (In the old days rain outs and long games that had to end before sunset were sometimes not finished) Some curiosities from that season:

The Giants came off of an 8 game losing streak in May and won 17 in a row. All 17 games were on the road! Then they coasted until July when they traded their legendary pitcher Christy Mathewson. From Sept.7 until Sept.30 they never lost. The tie came after the twelfth game in the second game of a double header in Pittsburgh when rain ended the game in the 8th inning, tied up 1-1. The game didn't count in the stats or standings.

After all that, for the season the Giants finished...FOURTH!

No comments:

Post a Comment